Saturday, November 07, 2015
LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 7, 2015
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
The annual clash between Alabama and LSU almost always has an impact on the SEC West race, but this year’s installment might amount to a national quarterfinal.
Both teams cracked the top four in the initial College Football Playoff rankings released Tuesday, meaning the winner of Saturday’s showdown at Alabama will maintain an inside track to the national semifinals.
It’s no surprise the fourth-ranked Tigers checked in at No. 2 in the playoff committee’s rankings – at 7-0 they are one of 11 remaining unbeaten teams, including eight in power conferences.
On the NCAA Football Moneyline odds at BetOnline Crimson Tide are at -290.LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Early Odds & Betting Lines Live NCAA Football Odds & Scores - Click here
Alabama won its last outing, a 19-14 result against Volunteers on October 24. Alabama failed to cover in that game as a -14.5-point favorite, while the 33 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
LSU was a 48-20 winner in their most recent outing at home against Hilltoppers. They covered the -16-point spread as favorites, while the total score (68) made winners of OVER bettors.LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Betting Odds & Trends
Current Streak: won 7 straight games.
LSU is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 5 games
Current Streak: won 5 straight games.
Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games
LSU home to Arkansas Saturday, November 14
Alabama at Mississippi State Saturday, November 14
Alabama vs. LSU prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins the SEC West clash between the Crimson Tide and Tigers.Alabama vs. LSU Game Preview
When: Saturday, November 5 – 8:00 p.m. ET
Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Jalen Hurts. Leonard Fournette. Geaux Tigers. Roll Tide. This has all the makings of a classic.
Both teams are coming off byes. Alabama is undefeated and mostly unchallenged, running over the opposition with ease. LSU, on the other hand, has dealt with some adversity, including the firing of head coach Les Miles. Since his dismissal, the Tigers have been running on all cylinders.
Strap on your shoulder pads and fasten your helmet tight. This is going to be a hard-hitting, drag ‘em down fight.What To Know About Alabama
What can’t this team do? Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts has been excellent, and could very well be on his way to New York for the Heisman Trophy ceremony. Stop him, and you have to face running back Damien Harris, who has become the latest Alabama back that eats up yards behind a huge defensive line. Force the Crimson Tide to pass? Then you are dealing with Calvin Ridley, ArDarius Stewart, and O.J. Howard. This offense is explosive.
Oh, and don’t forget about the defense, which scores as much as most offenses. The defensive front is headlined by Jonathan Allen and Tim Williams, who put pressure on quarterbacks at all times. Linebacker Reuben Foster is a star, and defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick heads up a secondary that is second to none.What to Know About LSU
An offense that was as flat as a three-day-old Pepsi has come around and is now thriving under a new system. Getting Fournette back healthy was obviously a big help, but Steve Ensminger has opened up the playbook and let the Tigers play more freely. Quarterback Danny Etling leads the charge, and has been able to awaken wide receiver Malachi Dupre from the dead.
This is the best defense that Alabama will have faced this season, and performs as a carbon copy of the Crimson Tide: pressure the quarterback, stop the run, and force mistakes. Defensive end Davon Godchaux will lead the front that will try to contain Hurts, while linebacker Kendell Beckwith is a star at the second level.Advantages
Offense: Alabama. No one thought Hurts would be this good so early. He gives the Tide another dimension with his running ability.
Defense: Alabama. LSU is deadly on defense, but the Tide just have so much talent it is embarrassing.
Special Teams: Alabama. Losing Eddie Jackson as a kick returner hurts, but it will be next man up.
Coaching: Alabama. Ed Orgeron has revived the Tigers, but no one beats Nick Saban in this category.
Intangibles: LSU. The Tigers were shut down by Alabama last season and are on a mission to redeem themselves. Oh, did I mention this is a night game in Death Valley?Matchup To Watch
LSU rushing attack vs. Alabama defense
Fournette was held to 31 rushing yards in the loss to the Tide last season. He must do better to give the Tigers a chance.Alabama vs. LSU Betting Odds
Over/Under: Not available at time of post.Alabama vs. LSU Prediction
A month ago, this looked like it would be a blowout by the Crimson Tide as the Tigers struggled to a 2-2 start. Now, with LSU playing as well as they have in a while, this is going to be a battle. Fournette will be looking to play much better than last year, and he will, but Alabama is too talented at all positions on the field. Hurts makes the difference with a few runs to pick up first downs and the Tide stay undefeated.
Alabama vs. LSU Score Prediction: Alabama 31, LSU 23
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SEC columnist and contributing editor. My SEC Vibes column appears every Thursday and it’ll make your life better. Would give a nonessential organ to play a round of golf with Fred Couples. No longer suffering Cubs fan. Soccer nut. Bamberg, Germany is my special place. Consumer of beer. Auburn grad.
When Alabama’s 2013 schedule was released, there were two games that everyone pointed to when discussing the Crimson Tide’s chances for a three-peat – Texas A&M and LSU. After Alabama escaped College Station with a 49-42 win on September 14, everyone knew we’d have to wait two months for the next true challenge. Well, that game has finally arrived.
Since Nick Saban showed up in the SEC, LSU leads this series 9-5 but Alabama has won four out of the past six meetings. The Tigers don’t have as much to play for following a loss to Ole Miss three weeks ago but this game still harbors a lot of emotion in Louisiana. Take a look at how our staff thinks this game will go.Baron Huber (Host of Houston & Huber)
If there is one thing I know about this game as a player and fan its that we have no clue whats going to happen. At the end of the day football will always be football, run the ball stop the run. Alabama 24 LSU 20Martin Houston (Host of Houston & Huber)
This year’s LSU at Alabama game may not have the hype of its recent predecessors, but it still hold national championship implications. Even though the Tide struggled early in the season on the O-Line and in the defensive backfield, look for those two units to be impressive on Saturday. As we have become accustomed to seeing, AJ and crew will set the tempo early and often. Their intensity will only be matched by C.J. Mosley and crew, which will make it a long night for the Tigers. The Tide will strip the Tigers of its stripes with an Alabama mauling. Alabama 41, LSU 20Chris Stewart (Host of The Chris Stewart Show)
While this game may not have quite the luster as the last three matchups, it still obviously means a lot on both sides. Clearly, the stakes are the same for Alabama as each of the past two regular season meetings. For LSU, this is a season-saver. While most people point to the Tide’s ability to stop the Tigers passing game, I think the bigger question lies in whether or not LSU can stop Alabama’s stable of receivers. Nobody has more depth at that position than Bama, and each has big-play, big-game experience.
I have a hard time believing that these two teams will post the type of numbers that many have thrown out there, but don’t look for this to be a field-goal kicking contest as we saw in the two games for the 2011 season. Alabama 28, LSU 17Ryan Fowler (Host of The Game)
Alabama will gain the momentum quickly with some early scores. Nick Saban has had two weeks to find a weakness on the LSU team. Nick Saban will maximize those weaknesses, which will allow Alabama to score early in the game. Alabama can beat a team with several options. LSU’s chance of winning increases if they have success throwing the ball. Alabama wins by double-digits and yes, AJ McCarron passes 107 yards, which is all he needs to become the all-time leading passer at UA. Alabama 35, LSU 24Ryan McMunn (Producer of The Game and The Chris Stewart Show)
Here it is, the Game of the Century part…. whatever part it is, I’ve lost track. Although recent history says this game will be close….Who am I kidding? This game is going to be closer than people think. The spread is around 12 points in Alabama’s favor, but I think we all know that LSU is probably going to cover. The Mad Hatter may make some absolutely crazy coaching decisions sometimes, but he seems to channel his inner Saban during this game. Mettenberger is playing like we thought he would play when he graduated high school, and I’m not sure if we match up well enough to stop Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. Our secondary will possibly be tested more in this game than in the A&M game, and recently the home team hasn’t had much success. However, we are on the way to making history by winning three national championships in a row and I don’t see us slipping up anytime soon. Alabama takes a hard earned win over the Bayou Bengals on Saturday. Alabama 31, LSU 24Ben George (Digital Managing Editor)
In a reversal from recent years, 2013 LSU has a stronger offense than it does a defense, which is going to pose some problems against an Alabama team that’s rolling on offense. The Crimson Tide should be fresh coming off a bye month where it outscored opponents 190-20. As long as the bye week didn’t disrupt momentum, I believe Alabama will make relatively easy work of the Tigers in primetime. Even if this game is closer than expected, special teams should be a big advantage for the Crimson Tide to the point where a punt return touchdown is a big possibility. That being said, it won’t be close, but Bama fans will stay around to enjoy this one. Alabama 38, LSU 17
Not game of the century like last year (twice), just game of the year. The number one team in the nation who most agree have yet to face a true test this season, the Alabama Crimson Tide, head into a tricky, emotional and promising night game in Tiger Stadium to face the #5 LSU Tigers.
There’s a lot of talk about revenge and hate for both teams. Some people still can’t understand how Alabama, who lost to LSU 9-6 in the regular season shouldn’t even been in the BCS Championship game if the BCS was a perfect system, were so dominant, so much better than the Tigers when it came to the final game of the season. It ended 21-0, with Les Miles imploding and some even saying sacrificing the game in order to prove he’s right on the whole Jordan Jefferson – Jarrett Lee affair.
Still, Alabama players who were there in Tuscaloosa for the 9-6 loss feel they were robbed. They want the SEC West and the SEC championship as well. That title looks like a done deal, if only they can get by LSU, where they have won only once in their last four visits.
Kevin Norwoord, Tide receiver: LSU is the SEC championship team or whatever, and not us, we’re just the national championship team. And that’s one of our goals, to be the SEC championship team. To me, I like to fulfill all my goals, and that’s one we didn’t, so it’s motivation for us.
Since the beginning of the Saban Bowl in 2007, the teams are 3-3, with the games turning chippier, more physical, brutal and defensive each time. Alabama come with the best defense in the nation, allowing only 8.1 points per game. They allow only 1.9 yards per carry and a total of 203.1 yards per game from their opponents. Alabama leads college football with 125 points scored off turnovers this season.
LSU aren’t far behind, with 2.7 yards per carry allowed along with 14.6 points per game. They have more sacks, tackles for loss and forced turnover than the Tide do, but some stats are hard to consider authentic because Alabama haven’t had a tough outing all season, never winning by less than 19 points and not having to use second and third stringers at the end of the game.
The real difference comes in the form of their offensive efficiency, and also the strength of schedule up to this point. LSU have faced three ranked SEC teams in the last three weeks, beginning with a tough loss to Florida, carrying on with two tough wins of South Carolina and Texas A&M. Still, there’s nothing on those teams that’s quite like what the Tide have to offer.
The real problem for LSU this season, despite the 7-1 record, has been Zach Mettenberger’s play. Ignore the 7 touchdown passes; LSU are a run team first and second, and all Mettenberger has to do is keep it simple and avoid mistakes. The popular blueprint for SEC powerhouse teams, like Alabama on most seasons. Mettenberger has thrown 4 interceptions so far this season and is completing only 55.6% of his passes. His big struggles began when SEC play began, exemplified by his difficulty in making big plays.
Mettenberger completed 78.6 percent of his passes thrown 15 yards or longer in his first three games of the season. Once SEC play began, he has not been as sharp, completing 16.7 percent of his 15-yard throws in four conference games. LSU has four touchdown drives of 75 yards or longer, tied for the second fewest in FBS. The Tigers have no such drives in its four conference games.
In comparison, Alabama, a team that also focuses heavily on the run with T.J. Yeldon and Eddie Lacy, averaging 5.2 yards per carry so far this season and 6.2 yards per rush during the fourth quarters, which is a number that usually predicts National championships (Florida in 2008, Alabama in 2011), have a Heisman candidate in A.J. McCarron.
He completed 68.9% of his passes, has thrown 18 touchdown passes this season and has yet to be intercepted. He’s completing 72.2 percent of his passes thrown 25 yards or longer this season, 87.5 percent of his 25-yard passes off play action. Establish the run first, but McCarron doesn’t drop the ball when he needs to step up.
Prediction? Hard to look past the Tide. Too good of a team so far, and even with a weaker schedule up to this point, LSU strengths aren’t in places were Alabama have any sort of weakness. Great defenses, great running game and a much better quarterback for the Tide. Statistically, there’s a silver lining for the Tigers: Nine previous times the AP No. 1 team has faced a Top-20 opponent on the road the week after a home win against another Top-20 opponent. The AP No. 1 team is just 2-7 in those nine previous road games, including the Crimson Tide themselves losing in that situation at South Carolina just two years ago.
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The Alabama Crimson Tide and USC Trojans will square off in Dallas on Saturday. The defending champs come into the season with a new quarterback yet again, while USC will also debut a new quarterback in Max Browne.
Fueled by Sports prediction: Look for the Tide to rely on their ground attack and their dominant defense, beating the Trojans 34-17.
Campus Insiders predicts that Alabama will win the game.
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